- The North Wellington PT Study considered four “Scenarios” with convert the line into a Busway being the most popular but the Labour government said keep the trains.
- The consultants report also recommended “Do Minimum” which was to keep the line.
- LGWM did not even consider reviewing this decision so now it is time to check how this recommendation was fixed.
Post Organisation: <span>NZTA</span>
- The SKM Stage 3 Report recommended keeping the Johnsonville Line because no bus Scenario had a better Benefit Cost Ratio
- But the SKM Stage 3 Report recommended “Base Case” excluded the cost of buying any replacement EMU trains and other costs as well
- Excluding these costs hid that the Bus-On-Street Scenario had the best Benefit Cost Ratio
This post follows The North Wellington Public Transport Study (2006) which is the introduction this series of posts on “How to Fix a Transport Business Case for Rail” and will focus on how the “Do Minimum” Rail Base Case Benefit Cost Ratio was fixed in the SKM Stage 3 Report to help it come first.… Read more ...
- The SKM Stage 3 Report recommended keeping the Johnsonville Line because no bus Scenario had a better Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR)
- But the SKM Stage 3 Report included tens of millions in costs in the Bus-On-Street that were not required to implement this Scenario
- Including these costs hid that the Bus-On-Street Scenario had the best BCR
This is the 3rd in this series of posts on “How to Fix a Transport Business Case for Rail” and it is recommended that the introduction post, The North Wellington Public Transport Study (2006) and then How to Fix a Transport Business Case for Rail – Part 1 Jack Up the Rail Option BCR are read first to provide context.… Read more ...
- The SKM Stage 3 Report recommended keeping the Johnsonville Line by fixing the BCRs to hide that its modelling showed the Bus-On-Street Scenario was the best performing option.
- The Bus-On-Street Scenario only performed so well because the model invalidly included billions of future transport project improvements meaning future roads would be congestion free.
How to Fix a Transport Business Case for Rail – Part 4 Bait and Switch – Change the Decision for Rail Later
- In 2006, the SKM Stage 3 Report recommended a Do Minimum “Base Case” based on replacing the old English Electric EMUs with refurbished Ganz-Mavag EMUs.
- In 2010, the GWRC then announced that new Matangi EMUs would operate on the Johnsonville Line.
There are several ways to evaluate and compare various options to select the best option going forward. In New Zealand, Waka Katohi (NZTA) requires major transport projects to use their Economic Evaluation Manual (EEM) to guide the evaluation of transport Options.… Read more ...
Golden Mile Capacity Assessment
Date: 3 August 2006
Author: Opus International Consultants Limited (Wellington) for Transit NZ (Now NZTA)
Link to Report: https://www.scribd.com/document/390814514/Wellington-Golden-Mile-Capacity-Assessment-Summary-Final-OPUS-2006
Study Back ground and Objective
To quantify the bus capacity for the ‘Golden Mile’ route from the Wellington Railway Bus Interchange to Courtenay Place.… Read more ...